Carlos Slim Helu is Mexico's richest billionaire at close to
$40,000,000,000 wealth. His money comes from controlling the
telephone, computer, television, and cigarrette industries of Mexico.
Want Mexico auto insurance from Sanborne's?..... you're helping him out.
Carlos Slim can be found at work in many places. In the US, he may
share the stage at elite events with LULAC. Here he is at work
theorizing for Felipe Gonzalez's, Global Progress Comission. GPC is
actually sponsored by the Socialist International. The GPC web site
is below the article by Slim, and the article comes off that site.
Both Felipe Gonzalez and Carlos Slim are sponsors of Vicente Fox and
Alejandro Toledo's new faces for US imperialism. They've all been
celebrating the election of their candidate to the Mexican presidency
these last couple of weeks. Been doing a lot of 'chats' together in
Mexico City, and talking to reporters.
Carlos Slim is a real progressive sort of guy like Bill Gates. He
wants to help his fellow Mexicans out, as the article below shows.
How great that socialists like Rigoberta Menchu and Felipe Gonzalez have
friends such as Slim to humanize the capitalist world. If Slim can
make a few extra tens of billions off his 'humanitarianism', maybe he
deserves it?
Hey, Slim. Where's your buddy, Salinas de Gortari, hanging out
these days?
Tony _______________________________
Crisis and national regulation of investment flow
Carlos Slim
There is no doubt that globalization is a process inherent to all
manifestations of human activity. It is not an option but a reality.
Globalization, which covers so many activities, has been generally
accepted in many of its manifestations for hundreds of years, for
example in science, art, ideas and thought.
I will mention three activities capable of curbing major conflict
between nations, above all because they are so assymetrical=A0: trade,
investment and labour.
1. It is the area of labour where underdeveloped countries are most at a
disadvantage because, although trade and investment continue, labour is
still restricted - with respect to working abroad under more attractive
conditions, or because there simply aren't enough jobs back home. It is
striking that when people from the developed world come to work in our
countries they are received with open arms (and of course usually they
are managers, directors, white collar workers), but those who wish to go
to work in other countries as less skilled labour have many problems. It
is a factor worth studying.
2. As to the commercial factor clearly we have moved on from the stage
=96 an important one for Latin America =96 of nationalization of
companies, of investment in different countries, almost always with
excessive protectionism which obviously affects the consumer, to the
stage of direct investment and commercial globalization, when all our
countries are calling for production to be competitive at the world
level.
3. We are in a situation where globalization, in a post-industrial era,
has induced companies not just to invest in other countries' markets but
to seek locations where the conditions make their products more
competitive worldwide. Trade is without doubt, together with investment,
another of the fundamental problems to be anaylsed.
I think that globalization, although apparently making society similar
everywhere, has a strong element of individual freedom, above all in
this civilization of information and knowledge. They are without doubt
the enemies of fundamentalism, intolerance and censure. I believe that
the opportunities of globalization are fundamentally positive, and that
we can study and resolve the three problems creates.
3.1 The financial aspects of globalization have been developing since
the seventies with the rapid development of the Eurodollar by the
commercial banks, a development boosted by the involvement of the
investment banks and, more recently and above all in the last fifteen
years, by the revaluation of assets and major investment funds which
arrived in our countries over the last ten years in search of big
returns. We should I believe also set limits to these investment funds
and try to detect where the real problem lies. Some of these funds are
without doubt to be welcomed, above all those destined for direct
investment, long-term loans with favourable conditions to the government
and businesses, and those for market access to capitalize on the
productive apparatus. These are important financial resources which
should in general be well received.
What causes crises =96 and I believe that in general they are avoidable
or if not, that they can be minimized =96 are short-term capital flows
in search of big pay-offs, which paradoxically come from retirement
funds whose fundamental condition is security and long-term conditions
but which, equally paradoxically, deal in high short-term risks. We must
work on improving the market of these big capital flows which move too
rapidly, those that are abused when they arrive in a country and which
cause crises when they withdraw.
As for direct investment, perhaps certain countries need to fix
priorities so that some of their fundamental or strategic activities are
placed the hands of their nationals. However, all direct productive
investment, the fundamental intention of which is to actively compete in
the global market place, needs to be supported, well received and
stimulated.
There is also the case of developed countries which are not competitive,
which have outgrown their industrial past. Few wish to work there, there
are few jobs and any remaining are at risk of being rapidly transferred
to our part of the world. The workers of these developed countries are
not attracted by boring jobs. These jobs move to our economies, where
the companies become more competitive.
Returning to the financial aspects, the problems arising therefrom
cannot be settled by international bodies. Moreover it is difficult to
find general rules which are universally applicable. I think that there
needs to be rational access to financial resources and markets,
regulating the flow of these resources in our countries rather than
internationally. We should try to get international bodies to act not to
resolve crises but to improve the functioning of markets and
international savings.
These resources that flow violently through our countries are like the
flooding of the great rivers. River water is untamed, abundant in the
rainy season but can fall terribly low in a drought, and cannot be
controled at the source up in the mountains but in the places where the
problems are. I am convinced that we ourselves have to manage this glut
of resources. Fundamentally the way to do so is by detecting which ones
the recipient country has access to, which ones are material for
national investment and which for general investment. For example, ten
years ago in Mexico treasury bonds were investment material for Mexicans
alone causing major upheaval when they were opened up in 1989. I also
think that these resources should be long-term. If we look at the
differences in interest rates, for the United States the reference rate
is the thirty year treasury bond, and for Mexico the 28 day bond. It is
absurd for such resources to move within such short periods.
3.3 On the other hand I believe that investors should also take on board
the risks inherent to their interests, so that it is not society that
has to respond when the institutions they invest in get into trouble. As
far as international institutions are concerned, whenever there is a
crisis in our countries, be it of liquidity or economic, rather than
solving the liquidity problem they come to punish our society for its
excesses, introducing excessively drastic measures to curb consumption,
bringing about cuts between 10 and 12%.
We experienced this in 1995 in Mexico with a drop in consumption of
almost 15% and Brazil is experiencing it right now.
3.4 I have the impression that as far as crises go there is a major
distinction between developed and underdeveloped countries. In the
developed world savers pay for financial crises, whereas in the
underdeveloped world consumers pay. We saw the interest rate at the
beginning of the nineties in Japan was 4%, 2% in the United States, plus
negative interest rates with a transfer from the financial economy to
the real economy - paid for by the saver. In our countries the consumer
pays, and we often see excessive transfers from the real economy to the
financial economy at real rates of 20 or 30%. By maintaining this sort
of pressure, with such high nominal and real rates, fiscal deficits are
triggered by definition, so that even by sacrificing consumption
countries have no possibility of resolving their finances without
simultaneously bringing down the rate. For example, Brazil is unlikely
to knock its finances into shape with a rate of 40% and expected
inflation at 15% to 20%, with real rates of 20 or 25% and a hefty
internal and external debt.
3.5 In conclusion in my view regulation should not occur at the
international level but every country should adopt its own rules and
decide on the form in which these resources move around. It is very
difficult to find general rules which are universally applicable. I
think that these resources will serve to develop our countries if they
are used intelligently, rationally, paying attention to the size of the
country, the structure of its current account deficits and the way in
which they are financed, as long as it is possible to gain access to
large parts of these funds.
4. The fact that the markets are out there, that production of
agricultural and now, above all, industrial goods is relocating are
opportunities that our countries can use without having to lag behind
the new digital era. The era of information and knowledge which is
moving ever faster and generalizing globalization is becoming accessible
to the entire population as technology develops.
5. Finally, I believe it is important to point out that for many years,
probably since the last century=A0and mainly following the First and
without doubt the Second World war, the problem for the economy and
business has been developing and strengthening markets. In the
agricultural era both the land and labour were there to be exploited and
the labourers' wages were an ethical issue of social justice. In our
era, to gain a market you need income and to gain income you need a job.
I believe our era is increasingly calling for mutual benefits for the
developed and developing world, so that there are clients to whom we can
sell our products. This circuit is an economic necessity and improving
it puts an adequate level of development within reach.
=A0It is said that changes of civilization spark off great crises. I
believe that the problem is not so much the actual change in
civilization so much as the way in which it is done. Now that these
changes are happening faster than ever, the solution to these problems
must be found more rapidly than ever in past history.
--WebTV-Mail-17705-1109
X-URL-Title: the Members of the Global Progress Commission
http://www.globalprogress.org/ingles/miembros.html
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